Monday, September 15, 2008

Obama opens double-digit lead in Iowa poll.


Democrat Barack Obama has established a double-digit lead over Republican John McCain in Iowa as the presidential race in this Midwestern battleground enters its critical fall stretch, according to The Des Moines Register's latest Iowa Poll.

The poll, taken in the wake of the parties' national conventions, shows Obama favored by 52 percent of Iowa likely voters, compared to 40 percent for McCain.

Although only 5 percent were undecided, the race remains fluid, with one in four voters saying they could still be persuaded to vote for another candidate in the seven weeks left until Election Day. The poll's margin of error is plus or minus 4 percentage points.

Top campaign advisers to Obama and McCain have said Iowa, where the past two presidential elections have been decided by 10,000 votes and fewer, is in the top tier of swing states. However, there are signs in the poll that Obama has a healthy advantage among key voter groups here.

Chief among them are independents, 49 percent of whom say they prefer Obama, compared to 36 percent who say they support McCain.

McCain's advisers have said they believe he can win Iowa by turning out the Republican base and by appealing to independents drawn to his maverick streak on issues such as immigration.

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